Clarifying Probabilities to the FBI: Simple Probability vs. Binomial Distribution Probability
Vincent B. Le Corre
Subject: EXTREMELY IMPORTANT TO UNDERSTAND
Date sent: February 10, 2023, 10:51 +0800 (China Standard Time)
To: Adam Rogalski (Legal Attaché/State Department), Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI)
Cc: Edward Lehman
Note: since Assistant Legal Attaché Adam Rogalski told me on 2021-09-20 that he was “one of the FBI representatives,” I assume that this communication was transferred to the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI).
Dear Mr. Rogalski,
It’s extremely important for the U.S. authorities to understand the difference between
- the probability of a certain scenario happening (see attached file “IMG_6733.jpg”)
- the binomial distribution probability of a certain scenario happening (see attached file “Screenshot 2023-02-10 at 09.35.39.png”)
It’s not the same thing at all!
Plus, you need to understand the different between an element and a set, which I believe by now you do.
The criminals (McDonald’s Corporation and its subsidiary companies and their accomplices) never warned their victims that the “1 chance out of 4” was in reality an approximate result of a binomial distribution probability.
There was no way for the victims of this mass-marketing fraud to know that it was a binomial distribution probability. It was impossible.
For an expert to understand, the accomplices of the criminal entity McDonald’s Corporation should have clearly stated in the fine print the following information:
- that the 1 chance out of 4 was the result of a binomial distribution probability calculation and that it was calculated with the following inputs:
- the exact number n of successes
- out of N Bernoulli trials
- where the result of each Bernoulli trial is true with probability p and false with probability q = 1 - p.
Even a journalist like Walk Hickey, with a university degree in applied mathematics, didn’t understand.
Obviously consumers couldn’t have realized they were being defrauded, let alone 13-year old children.
Will the FBI let these predators continue their criminal activities?
They are predators.
It’s exactly like a crime syndicate. Definition of a “syndicate” in attached file IMG_7044.HEIC (Black’s law dictionary 11th Edition).
And McDonald’s Corporation is a powerful criminal entity with extensive political connections.
But facts are facts.
That’s why I need witness protection. [Redacted].
Vincent Le CorreClick on this link to visualize the original document: IMG_6733.jpg
Click on this link to visualize the original document: Screenshot_2023-02-10_at_09-35-39.png
Click on this link to visualize the original document: IMG_7044.jpg
Click on this link to visualize the original email: 2023-02-10_1051_0800_fbi_EXTREMELY_IMPORTANT_TO_UNDERSTAND.pdf
To gain a clearer understanding of the sequence of events in this case, I invite you to view a detailed timeline at the following link:
This timeline provides a comprehensive overview of the key milestones and developments.